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The quality of weather information for forecasting of intermittent renewable generation

Authors
Sokolowska, Wioletta (Department of Information Systems, Poznan Uniwersity of Economics)
Search for Wioletta Sokolowska in Research Programmes Information System
Opa?ka, Jakub (Department of Information Systems, Poznan Uniwersity of Economics)
Search for Jakub Opa?ka in Research Programmes Information System
Hossa, Tymoteusz (Department of Information Systems, Poznan Uniwersity of Economics)
Search for Tymoteusz Hossa in Research Programmes Information System
Abramowicz, Witold (Department of Information Systems, Poznan Uniwersity of Economics)
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Chapter Renewable Energy
Volume Proceedings of the 28th Conference on Environmental Informatics - Informatics for Environmental Protection, Sustainable Development and Risk Management
Conference EnviroInfo 2014 - ICT for Energy Effieciency
Oldenburg, 2014
Year 2014
Abstract of the Article
The weather forecasts are affecting different aspects of our everyday life. Nowadays, thanks to
many tools and methods we are able to predict meteorological phenomena. It is possible, with a
level of uncertainty, to take control over the unpredictability of the future weather conditions.
Unfortunately, the predictions of the future meteorological variables are far from perfection, and it
is confirmed not only by scientific research but also by every-day experience. Hence, the quality of
the weather predictions has to be evaluated. Especially, as this information is critical for numerous
sectors, amongst which the renewable energy sector may be distinguished. Nowadays, an accurate
prediction of the power output of intermittent renewable energy sources (RES) is highly dependent
on weather and climate conditions. Thus, the energy decision- makers have to depend on the
quality of the obtained weather information. However, there are no commonly accepted standards
that would allow for the evaluation of the quality of information gained from different sources.
The aim of this paper is to provide a critical overview of the currently used assessment methods of
the quality of weather forecasts. The main focus is put on the methods and criteria for evaluation
of weather information that is used for predicting power output from intermittent RES.
Pages 101 - 110
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